line Youth gang migration

Eighty-nine percent of respondents with active youth gangs reported that they experienced some gang migration in 1997.

The proliferation of gangs in the United States has heightened the interest in gang migration in recent years. Migration has often been mentioned as a factor contributing to the spread of gangs in State legislative task force reports, government-sponsored conference presentations, and law enforcement reports at the local, State, and Federal levels (Maxson, Woods, and Klein, 1996). The conclusions of many of these reports, however, have been at odds with those of empirically based studies (Maxson, Woods, and Klein, 1996; Maxson, 1998). A recent study of more than 1,100 cities concluded that migrant gang members have had less of an effect on the proliferation of gangs throughout the country than previously believed (Maxson, Woods, and Klein, 1996; Maxson, 1998).

figure 12

In order to measure the extent of gang migration on gang proliferation, the 1996 National Youth Gang Survey included several questions on the subject. Gang migration was described in the survey as "temporary visits for social or criminal purposes as well as longer stays, including permanent moves for any reason." Results of the survey indicated that 84 percent of respondents experienced some gang migration into their jurisdictions in 1996. In addition, it was estimated that 21 percent of the youth gang members in these jurisdictions were migrants.4

The 1997 survey also included questions regarding gang migration so that the data could be compared with the 1996 survey results. Respondents were asked to identify the proportion of youth gang members in their jurisdictions who were migrants. Eighty-nine percent of respondents with active youth gangs reported that they experienced some gang migration in 1997, compared with 84 percent in 1996. After weighting the percentages to account for the number of youth gang members in each jurisdiction, it was estimated that 23 percent of all youth gang members in the United States had migrated from some other jurisdiction to the one in which they currently reside. This figure reveals that the number of gang migrants increased slightly (2 percent) between 1996 and 1997.

The prevalence of gang migrants was highest in the Midwest and lowest in the South.

To evaluate trends across area types, regions, and population categories, unweighted percentages of gang migrants were also evaluated. Figure 13 illustrates the unweighted average percentage of gang migrants, by area type. The average percentage of gang migrants in 1997 was highest (37 percent) in small cities, which is consistent with data reported in the 1996 survey. The average percentage for the remainder of the area types varied somewhat but revealed no clear trends. These variations were not found to be statistically significant.

figure 13

Regionally, there was a similar trend in 1996 and 1997 regarding the average percentage of gang migrants. The prevalence of gang migrants was highest in the Midwest and lowest in the South in both years (see figure 14). The variation between regions in 1996 and 1997 is statistically significant.

figure 14

Population appeared to have some impact on the average percentage of gang migrants. In 1996 and 1997, the average percentages were fairly static for population ranges below 100,000 but began to decrease steadily in the two population ranges above 100,000 (see figure 15). There was also a slight increase in the average percentage of gang migrants from 1996 to 1997 for all population ranges, except the 250,000 or more range. The variation between population ranges is statistically significant in both 1996 and 1997.

figure 15

Respondents were also given a list of possible reasons for gang migration and asked to identify those that explained most of the migration to their jurisdictions. The following reasons were included in the list:

  • Social factors (e.g., moving with families, finding legitimate job opportunities, or joining relatives or friends).

  • Establishing drug market opportunities.

  • Participating in other illegal ventures.

  • Avoiding law enforcement crackdowns.

  • Getting away from the gang life.

  • Other reasons.

Although respondents were asked to select the single reason that explained "most" of their gang migration, a substantial percentage checked more than one reason. Due to the frequency of this occurrence, respondents who checked multiple reasons for gang migration were not excluded from the analysis.

The vast majority of respondents cited social factors as the reason why youth gang members migrated to their jurisdictions.

The vast majority (70 percent) of respondents cited social factors as the reason why youth gang members migrated to their jurisdictions (see figure 16). Establishing drug markets was the second most cited reason (15 percent), followed by avoiding law enforcement crackdowns (14 percent), participating in illegal ventures other than those related to drugs (12 percent), getting away from the gang life (9 percent), and other reasons (6 percent). Only 54 respondents indicated a reason for the gang migration in their jurisdictions other than those provided in the survey. Reasons that fell into this category varied widely, but most of them qualified as social factors.

figure 16

Reasons for gang migration varied somewhat by area type (see appendix L) and population (see appendix M), but no clear trends were apparent. Furthermore, the variations between area types and population categories were not found to be statistically significant for any of the reasons for gang migration provided on the survey.

Regionally, there was slightly more variation for two of the reasons for migration: establishing drug markets and avoiding law enforcement crackdowns (see table 25). The percentage of respondents who indicated that youth gang members migrated to their jurisdictions to establish drug markets ranged from 22 percent in the Midwest to 11 percent in the West. The Northeast had the highest percentage (22 percent) of respondents who reported that youth gang members migrated to their jurisdictions to avoid law enforcement crackdowns, and the South had the lowest percentage (11 percent). These variations were found to be statistically significant.

table 25


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1997 National Youth Gang Survey   December 1999